Gold (XAU) Price Forecast: Potential Confirmation of Bearish Reversal with Strong NFP Data

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As experts in the stock market and trading world, we keep a close eye on market trends and provide valuable insights to help you make informed investment decisions. Today, we want to discuss potential bearish signals in gold futures that could impact your trading strategy.

Potential Bearish Signals in Gold Futures

Gold’s recent price reversal has caught the attention of traders, signaling a possible short-term correction. If gold breaks below $2,731.63, we could see a confirmation of a bearish chart pattern. In this scenario, we anticipate gold testing the $2,708.76–$2,697.28 support zone in the upcoming sessions. A decisive break below this range might lead to accelerated selling towards the 50-day moving average of $2,624.71. However, if prices manage to push above the recent high of $2,790.17, the reversal would be negated, supporting gold’s bullish momentum.

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Gold Recovers on Profit-Taking and Election-Driven Demand

Despite a recent pullback due to profit-taking, gold prices rebounded as investors awaited economic insights from the U.S. jobs data. With uncertainty looming ahead of the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election, demand for safe-haven assets like gold remains strong. Traders are closely monitoring political and economic indicators, with the market reacting to any shifts in polling dynamics. Citi projects a bullish outlook for gold, suggesting a potential price target of $3,000 per ounce within six months, driven by labor market concerns and sustained ETF inflows.

Dollar, Treasury Yields Stable Before Jobs Data Release

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar held steady supported by positive economic data, despite expectations of Fed rate cuts. The upcoming October NFP report is anticipated to show a slight slowdown in job growth, with analysts factoring in external factors like recent hurricanes. Treasury yields were flat as markets priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s November meeting. Dollar strength remains a key theme amid reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts.

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