Natural Gas Price Outlook: Faces Resistance While Decline Weakens

Understanding Market Trends: The Bearish Signals in Natural Gas

As investors, reading the market’s signals is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Today, we want to focus on the recent developments in the natural gas market, particularly around key resistance levels and what they mean for your trading strategy. At Extreme Investor Network, we aim to provide you with deeper insights that set our analysis apart from the rest.

The Bearish Back Test of Trend Lines

Today’s high of $4.14 intertwined with the 20-Day Moving Average (MA) has revealed critical resistance levels. The convergence of these two indicators marks a significant price resistance area—not just by coincidence, but as a signal that traders should pay attention to. The dual resistance reinforces the idea that the market is showing strong selling pressure at these levels.

Given recent market behavior, particularly after the breakdown experienced earlier in the week, we anticipate that the bearish pullback may continue. Unless natural gas manages to reclaim those significant upside resistance levels, traders should remain cautious and ready to adjust their positions.

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Historically, sharp price movements often follow a pullback that tests the 20-Day MA before making any decisive shifts. This pattern suggests that traders who closely observe these trends might find actionable insights for their next move.

Potential for Bullish Returns Above Resistance

While the current sentiment is bearish, there is still room for optimism. For Friday, the market reached a high of $4.14, hovering just below the 20-Day MA at $4.15. A sustained rise above this line could signify renewed strength and a potential reversal. However, considering the current price dynamics, a breakout above Thursday’s high of $4.20 would be a stronger confirmation of bullish momentum.

Further, let’s keep an eye on Wednesday’s peak at $4.38—this level may serve as an initial target for bullish traders aiming to capitalize on upward momentum. At Extreme Investor Network, we emphasize not just identifying resistance levels but also understanding the broader implications of breaking through those barriers.

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The Bearish Weekly Pattern: What It Means for Investors

As we analyze the weekly trends, it is evident that the market appears to be forming a bearish candlestick pattern. This formation emerged after a failed breakout to new trend highs earlier in the week, culminating in a weekly close located in the lower third of the trading range.

Interestingly, just below this week’s low lies potential support around the 200-Week MA at $3.93. Should the market fall below this critical level, it could signal a continued decline. Dropping beneath $3.93 would not only be a bearish signal but also reinforce the bearish pattern we’ve observed.

Furthermore, keep an eye on the 50-Day MA currently at $3.83 as a key support level. Below that, the last swing low at $3.74 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $3.72 align to create a solid support barrier. If these critical levels are breached, they could herald a bearish reversal of the uptrend we’ve seen up to now.

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Stay Ahead with Us

Navigating the stock market can be a challenge, but with informed resources and community insight, you can make better trading decisions. For more detailed analyses and daily updates on economic events affecting the market, be sure to check out our own economic calendar at Extreme Investor Network. Our commitment is to empower you with knowledge and insights that drive your trading strategies forward.

In conclusion, while the current indicators reflect a bearish outlook for natural gas, staying tuned to key resistance and support levels can provide you with a strategic edge. Happy trading!