Nvidia’s stock falls from all-time high before pivotal Q1 earnings report

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Investors are eagerly awaiting Nvidia’s (NVDA) first-quarter earnings report, set to be released after the bell today. This report is anticipated to be one of the most significant for investors this year, given Nvidia’s pivotal role in driving the AI boom in the markets over the last 18 months.

Wall Street analysts are projecting Nvidia to announce revenue and profits that have surged more than 200% and 400%, respectively, from the prior-year period. This surge is primarily attributed to the increased demand for Nvidia’s chips amidst the flourishing AI industry.

According to Bloomberg data, analysts are forecasting an adjusted earnings per share of $5.65 on revenue of $24.69 billion. To put this into perspective, in the same quarter last year, Nvidia reported an adjusted EPS of $1.09 on revenue of $7.19 billion.

Nvidia’s stock has been soaring, with over a 200% increase in the past year, reaching record highs. Since the stock market lows in October 2022, Nvidia has seen an astonishing 700% surge. However, in early trading on Tuesday, shares dipped by around 0.4%.

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The majority of Nvidia’s revenue is expected to originate from its Data Center business, projected to bring in $21 billion, compared to $4.28 billion in Q1 last year. The Gaming division, once the company’s primary segment, is also anticipated to see a revenue increase to $3.5 billion from $2.24 billion in the same quarter last year.

Looking ahead of Nvidia’s earnings announcement, analysts are optimistic. Stifel analyst Ruben Roy raised the company’s price target to $1,085 from $910, expressing confidence in Nvidia’s ability to surpass expectations and enhance its guidance for the upcoming quarter.

The demand for Nvidia’s chips from tech giants like Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, and others has significantly boosted the company’s performance, making today’s report a pivotal indicator of the industry’s appetite for further AI investments.

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Beyond the realm of technology, the AI trade has expanded into other sectors, with investors exploring opportunities in energy and power companies as derivative plays on the AI boom.

Despite the positive outlook, concerns linger about the transition from Nvidia’s current Hopper line of AI chips to its upcoming Blackwell line. Some customers might delay orders for Hopper chips as they await the release of the more powerful Blackwell products, potentially causing a temporary dip in sales for Nvidia.

Moreover, Nvidia faces the challenge of tech giants developing their in-house AI chips, posing a threat to the company’s market share. Companies like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft are already utilizing or developing their AI chips, which offer better power efficiency than Nvidia’s offerings. This competition from AMD and Intel’s AI chips also adds pressure on Nvidia’s position in the market.

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(Source: Original Content Rewrite by Extreme Investor Network)

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